The dark art of predicting GCSE grades | Rob Butler


It’s that time of year when I check the weather forecast before I leave the house with my dog because I don’t want to get soaked.  Generally the forecasts are accurate but if the forecast says it will rain at 11, sometimes it rains sooner and sometimes it rains later.  That’s the nature of the game – and whilst we aren’t happy about it, we accept that the Met Office have done the best that they can.  That’s the nature of a prediction.

I went in onto school last Wednesday to check my results (perks of my role).  This is only my second year of teaching GCSE science following a break of…

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